── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Ugo Humbert
54%46%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Return
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#39
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
FRA
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Ugo Humbert
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Frances Tiafoe | 7-5 7-6(9) |
| 2020-02-17 | Delray Beach | Hard | QF | Ugo Humbert | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2019-11-05 | NextGen Finals | Hard | RR | Frances Tiafoe | 4-2 4-3(5) 3-4(4) 4-1 |