── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Valentin Vacherot
63%37%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 94% / 6%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Valentin Vacherot
87th · strong
Return
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Valentin Vacherot
32th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#12
model rank
#32
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
MON
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Valentin Vacherot
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | US Open | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 6-2 6-4 |