── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 88% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Sho Shimabukuro
88%12%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 72% / 28%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Sho Shimabukuro
15th · poor
Return
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Sho Shimabukuro
30th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#13
model rank
#155
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
JPN
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Sho Shimabukuro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings