── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Jenson Brooksby
77%23%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 42% / 58%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Jenson Brooksby
17th · poor
Return
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Jenson Brooksby
65th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#129
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Jenson Brooksby
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Clay0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2025-03-31 | Houston | Clay | F | Jenson Brooksby | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2022-07-25 | Atlanta | Hard | SF | Jenson Brooksby | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2021-08-02 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Jenson Brooksby | 7-6(4) 7-5 |