── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Aleksandar Kovacevic
74%26%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 81% / 19%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Aleksandar Kovacevic
68th · average
Return
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Aleksandar Kovacevic
3th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#113
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Aleksandar Kovacevic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Acapulco | Hard | R16 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 3-6 7-6(7) |
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 7-5 3-6 6-3 |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 6-3 4-6 7-5 |
| 2024-07-29 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Frances Tiafoe | 7-6(3) 4-6 6-3 |