── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Lorenzo Musetti
53%47%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 56% / 44%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Lorenzo Musetti
76th · strong
Return
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#13
model rank
#17
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Lorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–1
Clay1–3
Grass1–0
── 9 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | QF | Frances Tiafoe | 7-6(2) 7-5 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | QF | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-2 4-6 7-5 6-2 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-06-12 | Stuttgart | Grass | QF | Frances Tiafoe | 6-7(6) 7-6(4) 6-2 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 5-7 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-01-02 | United Cup | Hard | F | Frances Tiafoe | 6-2 0-0 RET |
| 2021-03-15 | Acapulco | Hard | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 2-6 6-3 7-6(1) |
| 2020-10-05 | Parma CH | Clay | R16 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |
| 2020-09-21 | Forli CH | Clay | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 5-7 6-2 |