── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Frances Tiafoe 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Frances Tiafoe
Francisco Comesana
73%27%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 74% / 26%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Francisco Comesana
46th · average
Return
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Francisco Comesana
39th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#31
model rank
#108
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Frances TiafoeFrancisco Comesana
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR64Frances Tiafoe6-4 6-3 4-6 6-2