── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Frances Tiafoe 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Frances Tiafoe
Francisco Comesana
85%15%
Hard: 85% / 15%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 87% / 13%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Francisco Comesana
42th · average
Return
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Francisco Comesana
38th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#13
model rank
#139
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Frances Tiafoe■ Francisco Comesana
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR64Frances Tiafoe6-4 6-3 4-6 6-2