── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Flavio Cobolli a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Flavio Cobolli
46%54%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 47% / 53%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Return
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#25
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Flavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2026-02-23 | Acapulco | Hard | F | Flavio Cobolli | 7-6(4) 6-4 |
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2024-02-12 | Delray Beach | Hard | QF | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 6-2 |