── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Rinky Hijikata
79%21%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Rinky Hijikata
18th · poor
Return
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Rinky Hijikata
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#13
model rank
#95
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Rinky Hijikata
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–1
Clay1–0
Hard2–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Stuttgart | Grass | R16 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2026-03-30 | Houston | Clay | R16 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 3-6 6-2 |
| 2026-02-16 | Delray Beach | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-06-17 | Queen's Club | Grass | R32 | Rinky Hijikata | 7-5 4-6 1-0 RET |
| 2023-08-28 | Us Open | Hard | R16 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 6-1 6-4 |