── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Eliot Spizzirri
57%43%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 71% / 29%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Eliot Spizzirri
73th · strong
Return
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Eliot Spizzirri
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#46
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Eliot Spizzirri
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-3 6-7(5) 6-4 6-3 |