── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Eliot Spizzirri
68%32%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Eliot Spizzirri
75th · strong
Return
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Eliot Spizzirri
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#13
model rank
#47
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Eliot Spizzirri
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-3 6-7(5) 6-4 6-3 |