── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Mattia Bellucci
76%24%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 55% / 45%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Return
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#123
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
ITA
188cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Mattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Acapulco | Hard | QF | Frances Tiafoe | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-3 3-6 6-7(6) 6-4 6-4 |