── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Arthur Cazaux
73%27%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 78% / 22%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Arthur Cazaux
74th · strong
Return
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Arthur Cazaux
48th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#13
model rank
#67
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
FRA
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Arthur Cazaux
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Frances Tiafoe | 7-6(1) 6-1 |