── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Frances Tiafoe 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Frances Tiafoe
Terence Atmane
73%27%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 86% / 14%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Terence Atmane
67th · average
Return
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Terence Atmane
14th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#31
model rank
#107
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
FRA
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Frances TiafoeTerence Atmane
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR16Frances Tiafoe6-4 1-6 6-4
2026-02-09DallasHardR32Frances Tiafoe4-6 6-2 6-2