── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Ignacio Buse
54%46%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 85% / 15%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Ignacio Buse
63th · average
Return
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#40
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
PER
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Ignacio Buse
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-2 |