── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Ignacio Buse
71%29%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 48% / 52%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Ignacio Buse
38th · below avg
Return
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#13
model rank
#58
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
PER
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Ignacio Buse
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-2 |