── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Jakub Mensik
56%44%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 83% / 17%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Jakub Mensik
84th · strong
Return
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Jakub Mensik
68th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#13
model rank
#21
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
CZE
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Jakub Mensik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(11) |
| 2025-09-12 | Davis Cup QLS R2: USA vs CZE | Hard | RR | Jakub Mensik | 6-1 6-4 |