── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jakub Mensik 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Frances Tiafoe
Jakub Mensik
39%61%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 70% / 30%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Jakub Mensik
85th · strong
Return
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Jakub Mensik
77th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#31
model rank
#13
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
CZE
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Frances TiafoeJakub Mensik
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR32Frances Tiafoe7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(11)
2025-09-12Davis Cup QLS R2: USA vs CZEHardRRJakub Mensik6-1 6-4