── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Jaime Faria
65%35%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Jaime Faria
40th · average
Return
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Jaime Faria
36th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#69
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
POR
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Jaime Faria
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 4-6 6-7(2) 7-6(4) 6-1 6-2 |