── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Frances Tiafoe
Alex Michelsen
58%42%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Return
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#13
model rank
#24
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Frances Tiafoe■ Alex Michelsen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings