── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Tabilo
Novak Djokovic
18%82%
Hard: 11% / 89%
Clay: 21% / 79%
Grass: 4% / 96%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#30
model rank
#3
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
SRB
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Tabilo■ Novak Djokovic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | Athens | Hard | R16 | Novak Djokovic | 7-6(3) 6-1 |
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-2 6-3 |