── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Tabilo
Roberto Bautista Agut
76%24%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 33% / 67%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Roberto Bautista Agut
34th · below avg
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Roberto Bautista Agut
72th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#30
model rank
#122
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
ESP
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro TabiloRoberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-28Aix-en-Provence CHClayR16Alejandro Tabilo4-6 6-2 6-4