── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Tabilo
Roberto Bautista Agut
73%27%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 29% / 71%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Roberto Bautista Agut
37th · below avg
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
58th · average
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#130
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
ESP
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Tabilo■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Aix-en-Provence CH | Clay | R16 | Alejandro Tabilo | 4-6 6-2 6-4 |