── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Tabilo
Federico Coria
86%14%
Hard: 88% / 12%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 92% / 8%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Federico Coria
1th · poor
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Federico Coria
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#30
model rank
#169
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
ARG
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Tabilo■ Federico Coria
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-24 | Santiago | Clay | R16 | Federico Coria | 7-6(11) 4-6 6-3 |
| 2023-10-30 | Guayaquil CH | Clay | QF | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-7(4) 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-02-14 | Concepcion CH | Clay | QF | Alejandro Tabilo | 7-5 6-7(4) 7-6(2) |
| 2019-09-30 | Campinas CH | Clay | R16 | Federico Coria | 6-3 4-6 6-4 |