── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Tabilo
Christopher Oconnell
68%32%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 40% / 60%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Christopher Oconnell
41th · average
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
58th · average
Christopher Oconnell
33th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#37
model rank
#104
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
AUS
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alejandro Tabilo■ Christopher Oconnell
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard3–0
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-17ChengduHardQFAlejandro Tabilo4-6 7-5 6-2
2025-09-08Guangzhou Huangpu CHHardSFAlejandro Tabilo2-1 RET
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersClayR64Alejandro Tabilo6-3 6-4
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersHardQ1Alejandro Tabilo6-3 5-7 7-5