── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Tabilo
Christopher Oconnell
80%20%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 72% / 28%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#30
model rank
#142
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
AUS
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Tabilo■ Christopher Oconnell
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Chengdu | Hard | QF | Alejandro Tabilo | 4-6 7-5 6-2 |
| 2025-09-08 | Guangzhou Huangpu CH | Hard | SF | Alejandro Tabilo | 2-1 RET |
| 2024-04-08 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | Q1 | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-3 5-7 7-5 |

