── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 87% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Tabilo
Maximilian Marterer
87%13%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 77% / 23%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Maximilian Marterer
19th · poor
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Maximilian Marterer
8th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#30
model rank
#173
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Left
CHI
country
GER
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro TabiloMaximilian Marterer
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Clay01
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-10-14AlmatyHardR16Alejandro Tabilo6-2 6-4
2023-05-15Tunis CHClayR32Maximilian Marterer6-3 6-2
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersHardR128Alejandro Tabilo6-4 6-3