── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Tabilo
Jordan Thompson
68%32%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 91% / 9%
Grass: 41% / 59%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#30
model rank
#80
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
AUS
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Tabilo■ Jordan Thompson
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Chengdu | Hard | R32 | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-3 7-6(6) |