── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Tabilo
Andrey Rublev
43%57%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 32% / 68%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#30
model rank
#19
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
RUS
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Tabilo■ Andrey Rublev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-7(5) 6-2 6-4 |
| 2024-10-21 | Basel | Hard | R16 | Andrey Rublev | 7-6(3) 6-1 |