── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Tabilo
Tommy Paul
36%64%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 15% / 85%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
58th · average
Tommy Paul
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#16
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
USA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Tabilo■ Tommy Paul
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Grass0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R32 | Tommy Paul | 6-7(2) 7-6(6) 6-2 |
| 2024-06-17 | Queen's Club | Grass | R16 | Tommy Paul | 6-3 6-4 |