── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Tabilo
Lloyd Harris
75%25%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 52% / 48%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Lloyd Harris
57th · average
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Lloyd Harris
29th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#30
model rank
#114
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
RSA
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro TabiloLloyd Harris
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-17ChengduHardQ2Alejandro Tabilo7-6(4) 6-7(2) 7-6(2)