── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Tabilo
Adam Walton
69%31%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 93% / 7%
Grass: 76% / 24%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Adam Walton
47th · average
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Adam Walton
35th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#30
model rank
#90
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
AUS
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro TabiloAdam Walton
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-11-02AthensHardR32Alejandro Tabilo7-6(7) 6-7(6) 7-5