── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Tabilo
Alexei Popyrin
65%35%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 57% / 43%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Alexei Popyrin
73th · strong
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
58th · average
Alexei Popyrin
25th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#90
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
AUS
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Tabilo■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | US Open | Hard | R64 | Alejandro Tabilo | 2-6 7-6(4) 7-6(3) 6-2 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Alexei Popyrin | 7-5 6-3 6-4 |