── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Tabilo
Sebastian Baez
65%35%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
58th · average
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#37
model rank
#89
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
ARG
188cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Tabilo■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–3
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Santiago | Clay | QF | Sebastian Baez | 7-6(2) 6-1 |
| 2024-02-26 | Santiago | Clay | F | Sebastian Baez | 3-6 6-0 6-4 |
| 2022-01-31 | Cordoba | Clay | QF | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-1 7-6(4) |
| 2021-03-01 | Buenos Aires | Clay | Q1 | Sebastian Baez | 6-1 6-0 |