── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Tabilo a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Tabilo
Brandon Nakashima
55%45%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 32% / 68%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#30
model rank
#42
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
USA
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Tabilo■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Chengdu | Hard | SF | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-4 7-6(0) |
| 2024-09-11 | Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs CHI | Hard | RR | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6(5) 2-6 7-6(3) |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |