── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Tabilo
Emilio Nava
70%30%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 66% / 34%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Emilio Nava
47th · average
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
58th · average
Emilio Nava
9th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#38
model rank
#115
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
USA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alejandro Tabilo■ Emilio Nava
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16Rio de JaneiroClayR32Alejandro Tabilo6-3 6-3