── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Tabilo
Lorenzo Musetti
39%61%
Hard: 31% / 69%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#30
model rank
#12
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
ITA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Tabilo■ Lorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Chengdu | Hard | F | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-3 2-6 7-6(5) |
| 2021-01-24 | Antalya 1 CH | Clay | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-2 6-0 |