── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Tabilo
Valentin Royer
75%25%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 53% / 47%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Valentin Royer
43th · average
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Valentin Royer
18th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#30
model rank
#118
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
FRA
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro TabiloValentin Royer
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR128Alejandro Tabilo6-2 6-4