── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Tabilo
Francesco Passaro
77%23%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 84% / 16%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Francesco Passaro
56th · average
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Francesco Passaro
16th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#30
model rank
#125
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
ITA
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro TabiloFrancesco Passaro
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16Rio de JaneiroClayR16Alejandro Tabilo4-6 7-6(0) 6-2
2025-08-12Cancun CHHardR32Alejandro Tabilo6-1 6-4