── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Tabilo a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Tabilo
Luciano Darderi
53%47%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 72% / 28%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#30
model rank
#37
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CHI
country
ITA
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Tabilo■ Luciano Darderi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Clay2–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | Auckland | Hard | R16 | Luciano Darderi | 1-6 7-5 6-3 |
| 2025-09-17 | Chengdu | Hard | R16 | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Luciano Darderi | 6-3 7-6(5) |
| 2024-02-26 | Santiago | Clay | QF | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-0 7-5 |
| 2023-11-06 | Lima CH | Clay | SF | Luciano Darderi | 7-5 4-6 6-3 |
| 2023-01-23 | Concepcion CH | Clay | R16 | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-4 7-5 |