── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ben Shelton 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Tabilo
Ben Shelton
24%76%
Hard: 21% / 79%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 16% / 84%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Ben Shelton
99th · elite
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
58th · average
Ben Shelton
60th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#38
model rank
#5
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
CHI
country
USA
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alejandro Tabilo■ Ben Shelton
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-01WashingtonHardQFAlejandro Tabilo4-6 7-5 6-4