── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Tabilo
Rafael Jodar
31%69%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 75% / 25%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#30
model rank
#6
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
CHI
country
ESP
188cm
height
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro TabiloRafael Jodar
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR128Alejandro Tabilo6-1 6-2