── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Tabilo
Rafael Jodar
30%70%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 29% / 71%
Grass: 54% / 46%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Return
Alejandro Tabilo
58th · average
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#37
model rank
#7
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
—
CHI
country
ESP
188cm
height
—
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Tabilo■ Rafael Jodar
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Rafael Jodar | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Washington | Hard | SF | Rafael Jodar | 6-7(6) 6-4 6-4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-1 6-2 |