── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Rinderknech 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Rinderknech
Marin Cilic
62%38%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 27% / 73%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Rinderknech
90th · elite
Marin Cilic
76th · strong
Return
Arthur Rinderknech
20th · poor
Marin Cilic
43th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#44
model rank
#81
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
CRO
196cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Rinderknech■ Marin Cilic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-12 | Davis Cup QLS R2: CRO vs FRA | Clay | RR | Arthur Rinderknech | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2022-10-24 | Basel | Hard | R32 | Arthur Rinderknech | 6-4 3-6 7-6(5) |
| 2021-05-31 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Marin Cilic | 7-6(6) 6-1 6-2 |