── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Arthur Rinderknech 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Arthur Rinderknech
Roberto Carballes Baena
75%25%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 81% / 19%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Arthur Rinderknech
87th · strong
Roberto Carballes Baena
22th · below avg
Return
Arthur Rinderknech
19th · poor
Roberto Carballes Baena
58th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#49
model rank
#147
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ESP
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Arthur RinderknechRoberto Carballes Baena
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay02
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR128Arthur Rinderknech7-6(2) 7-5 4-6 6-2
2021-05-24Belgrade 2ClayR32Roberto Carballes Baena6-0 6-4
2021-04-12Belgrade CHClayR32Roberto Carballes Baena6-4 7-6(4)