── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Rinderknech
Daniil Medvedev
23%77%
Hard: 17% / 83%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 25% / 75%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Rinderknech
87th · strong
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Return
Arthur Rinderknech
19th · poor
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#49
model rank
#5
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
RUS
196cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Rinderknech■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | SF | Arthur Rinderknech | 4-6 6-2 6-4 |
| 2022-08-29 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 7-5 6-3 |