── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Rinderknech
Daniil Medvedev
29%71%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 30% / 70%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Rinderknech
90th · elite
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Return
Arthur Rinderknech
20th · poor
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#44
model rank
#8
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
RUS
196cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Rinderknech■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | US Open | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | SF | Arthur Rinderknech | 4-6 6-2 6-4 |
| 2022-08-29 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 7-5 6-3 |