── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Rinderknech
Alexander Bublik
37%63%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Rinderknech
87th · strong
Alexander Bublik
88th · strong
Return
Arthur Rinderknech
19th · poor
Alexander Bublik
51th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#49
model rank
#24
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
KAZ
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Rinderknech■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–2
Hard2–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Geneva | Clay | QF | Alexander Bublik | 5-7 6-4 6-2 |
| 2022-05-23 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Alexander Bublik | 6-2 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-02-14 | Doha | Hard | R16 | Arthur Rinderknech | 6-7(5) 6-1 6-4 |
| 2021-11-08 | Stockholm | Hard | R32 | Arthur Rinderknech | 6-1 2-0 RET |