── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Rinderknech 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Rinderknech
Reilly Opelka
63%37%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 64% / 36%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Rinderknech
87th · strong
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Return
Arthur Rinderknech
19th · poor
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#49
model rank
#100
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
196cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Rinderknech■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Queen's Club | Grass | R16 | Arthur Rinderknech | 7-5 7-6(3) |
| 2025-03-11 | Phoenix CH | Hard | R32 | Reilly Opelka | 4-6 7-5 7-5 |
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R128 | Arthur Rinderknech | 6-4 7-6(5) |