── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Matteo Berrettini a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Arthur Rinderknech
Matteo Berrettini
45%55%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 16% / 84%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Arthur Rinderknech
87th · strong
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Return
Arthur Rinderknech
19th · poor
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#49
model rank
#38
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Arthur RinderknechMatteo Berrettini
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay01
Hard10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR64Matteo Berrettini6-4 6-4 6-4
2023-08-28Us OpenHardR64Arthur Rinderknech6-4 5-3 RET