── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Rinderknech a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Rinderknech
Denis Shapovalov
56%44%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 61% / 39%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Rinderknech
87th · strong
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Return
Arthur Rinderknech
19th · poor
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#49
model rank
#66
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
FRA
country
CAN
196cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Rinderknech■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–1
Hard1–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-09 | Stuttgart | Grass | R32 | Arthur Rinderknech | 6-4 2-6 6-0 |
| 2022-06-27 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-1 6-7(6) 6-7(4) 6-4 6-1 |
| 2022-02-14 | Doha | Hard | QF | Arthur Rinderknech | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-11-08 | Stockholm | Hard | QF | Denis Shapovalov | 4-6 6-3 7-5 |