── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Casper Ruud 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Arthur Rinderknech
Casper Ruud
28%72%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 14% / 86%
Grass: 71% / 29%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Arthur Rinderknech
87th · strong
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Return
Arthur Rinderknech
19th · poor
Casper Ruud
94th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#49
model rank
#11
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
NOR
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Arthur RinderknechCasper Ruud
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
Clay03
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardR64Arthur Rinderknech6-7(5) 6-4 6-2
2025-04-23Madrid MastersClayR64Casper Ruud6-3 6-4
2025-02-24AcapulcoHardR32Casper Ruud6-4 6-3
2023-05-08Rome MastersClayR64Casper Ruud6-4 6-0
2021-07-26KitzbuhelClaySFCasper Ruud6-3 7-6(7)