── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Arthur Rinderknech
Felix Auger Aliassime
27%73%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 37% / 63%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Arthur Rinderknech
87th · strong
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Arthur Rinderknech
19th · poor
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#49
model rank
#9
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
CAN
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Arthur RinderknechFelix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
Grass01
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardQFArthur Rinderknech6-3 6-4
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardR32Felix Auger Aliassime7-6(4) 4-2 RET
2025-06-22MallorcaGrassR16Felix Auger Aliassime7-5 6-3