── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Rinderknech 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Rinderknech
Sho Shimabukuro
78%22%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 53% / 47%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Rinderknech
91th · elite
Sho Shimabukuro
15th · poor
Return
Arthur Rinderknech
20th · poor
Sho Shimabukuro
30th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#45
model rank
#155
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
JPN
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Rinderknech■ Sho Shimabukuro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | R128 | Arthur Rinderknech | 6-7(4) 6-2 7-6(4) 6-2 |