── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Arthur Rinderknech
Brandon Nakashima
36%64%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 48% / 52%
Grass: 31% / 69%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Arthur Rinderknech
90th · elite
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Return
Arthur Rinderknech
20th · poor
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#44
model rank
#17
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Arthur Rinderknech■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-09Canada MastersHardR16Brandon Nakashima7-6(4) 5-7 7-5
2023-05-22LyonClayR16Brandon Nakashima7-6(6) 1-6 7-5
2021-01-17Istanbul 1 CHHardR16Arthur Rinderknech6-7(7) 6-1 6-4