── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Rinderknech
Jack Draper
46%54%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 31% / 69%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Rinderknech
90th · elite
Jack Draper
95th · elite
Return
Arthur Rinderknech
20th · poor
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#44
model rank
#34
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
FRA
country
GBR
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Rinderknech■ Jack Draper
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Dubai | Hard | R16 | Arthur Rinderknech | 7-5 6-7(4) 6-4 |
| 2022-10-31 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Jack Draper | 6-3 6-4 |