── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jack Draper 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Arthur Rinderknech
Jack Draper
38%62%
Hard: 32% / 68%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 31% / 69%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Arthur Rinderknech
87th · strong
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Return
Arthur Rinderknech
19th · poor
Jack Draper
94th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#49
model rank
#26
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
FRA
country
GBR
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Arthur RinderknechJack Draper
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23DubaiHardR16Arthur Rinderknech7-5 6-7(4) 6-4
2022-10-31Paris MastersHardR64Jack Draper6-3 6-4