── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Michelsen a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Arthur Rinderknech
Alex Michelsen
49%51%
Hard: 37% / 63%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 45% / 55%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Arthur Rinderknech
87th · strong
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Return
Arthur Rinderknech
19th · poor
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#49
model rank
#47
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Arthur RinderknechAlex Michelsen
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard20
Grass10
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13MunichClayR32Arthur Rinderknech6-3 6-3
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR64Arthur Rinderknech6-3 6-4
2024-10-28Paris MastersHardR32Arthur Rinderknech7-6(6) 7-6(7)
2024-06-10StuttgartGrassR32Arthur Rinderknech6-4 7-5